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基于贝叶斯网络的软件项目进度管理模型

李义杰 蒋靖 程政

计算机工程与科学2011,Vol.33Issue(11):140-143,4.
计算机工程与科学2011,Vol.33Issue(11):140-143,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-130X.2011.11.026

基于贝叶斯网络的软件项目进度管理模型

A Software Project Schedule Management Model Based on the Bayesian Network

李义杰 1蒋靖 1程政1

作者信息

  • 1. 辽宁工程技术大学信息与管理工程辽宁省重点实验室,辽宁葫芦岛125105
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摘要

Abstract

According to the characteristics of software projects, this paper puts forward a schedule management model based on the Bayesian network. This Bayesian network model is built on the basis of introducing the PERT chart. And the probability parameters are determined by the experts' judgment and experience . It can continually monitor and control the project, and identify the risks and uncertainty of the project, and perform reverse parameter learning. Whereby the irrational development progress is adjusted, and the role of evolutionary optimization is achieved. The simulation experiment proves that this model has good schedule predicting ability coincided with the real cases.

关键词

项目进度/贝叶斯网络/不确定性/管理模型

Key words

project schedule/Bayesian network/uncertainty/management model

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

李义杰,蒋靖,程政..基于贝叶斯网络的软件项目进度管理模型[J].计算机工程与科学,2011,33(11):140-143,4.

基金项目

辽宁省教育厅基金资助项目(2009A350) (2009A350)

计算机工程与科学

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1007-130X

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