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基于粗糙集和RBF神经网络的风电场短期风速预测模型

王莉 王德明 张广明 周献中

南京工业大学学报(自然科学版)2011,Vol.33Issue(6):67-71,5.
南京工业大学学报(自然科学版)2011,Vol.33Issue(6):67-71,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1671-7627.2011.06.014

基于粗糙集和RBF神经网络的风电场短期风速预测模型

Short-term wind speed prediction for wind farms based on rough sets and RBF neural network model

王莉 1王德明 2张广明 1周献中1

作者信息

  • 1. 南京工业大学自动化与电气工程学院,江苏南京210009
  • 2. 南京大学工程管理学院,江苏南京210093
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

A radical basis function (RBF) neural network model combined with rough sets was used to predict short-term wind speed. Rough sets were used to reduce input feature space so that the significant factors for wind speed prediction could be found as the input variables of RBF neural network prediction model. Online rolling optimization was adopted in training RBF neural network. The latest sample was added into the training sets, thus the prediction model could catch recent changes of wind speed. The proposed method was used to predict wind speed in 1 h. Simulation results showed that the method had advantages of simplicity and high precision.

关键词

风力发电/短期风速预测/粗糙集/RBF神经网络

Key words

wind power generation/short-term wind speed prediction/rough sets/RBF neural network

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

王莉,王德明,张广明,周献中..基于粗糙集和RBF神经网络的风电场短期风速预测模型[J].南京工业大学学报(自然科学版),2011,33(6):67-71,5.

基金项目

江苏省科技厅工业科技支撑计划资助项目(BE2009166) (BE2009166)

南京工业大学学报(自然科学版)

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSTPCD

1671-7627

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