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基于证据理论的温室投资风险效益评估专家系统

王纪章 李冬生 李萍萍

农业机械学报2011,Vol.42Issue(5):203-207,5.
农业机械学报2011,Vol.42Issue(5):203-207,5.

基于证据理论的温室投资风险效益评估专家系统

Expert System for Investment Risk-benefit Assessment of Greenhouse Based on D-S Evidence Theory

王纪章 1李冬生 1李萍萍2

作者信息

  • 1. 江苏大学现代农业装备与技术省部共建教育部重点实验室,镇江212013
  • 2. 南华大学经济管理学院,衡阳421001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to analyze the risk-benefit assessment for greenhouse investment, risk-benefit assessment index system for greenhouse investment was established, and the weight of the factors was determined by using revised analytic hierarchy process. The risk-benefit assessment model of greenhouse investment was established based on D - S evidence theory. Expert system for risk-benefit assessment of greenhouse investment was developed. By means of the expert system, each expert can give the assessment for every program, and then the system assesses the risk-benefit comprehensively according to the ideas of each expert. The result can provide the basis for the investors to choose the proper greenhouse structure.

关键词

温室/风险效益评估/D-S证据理论/专家系统

Key words

Greenhouse/ Risk-benefit assessment/ D-S evidence theory/ Expert system

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

王纪章,李冬生,李萍萍..基于证据理论的温室投资风险效益评估专家系统[J].农业机械学报,2011,42(5):203-207,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(30771259)、江苏省科技支撑计划资助项目(BE2010347)、江苏省高校基础研究重大项目(08KJA210001)和江苏大学人才启动基金资助项目(06JDG038) (30771259)

农业机械学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-1298

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