南阳师范学院学报2011，Vol.10Issue(12)：14-17,4.
利用GM（1，1）模型和时间序列法定量评估上海世博会的影响力
Evaluate the influence of the Shanghai World Expo by GM（ 1,1 ） model and time sequence method
摘要
Abstract
Abstract：The 2010 Shanghai World Expo is the global event,it involves many aspects of influence. It mainly to Shanghai international tourist arrivals is given priority, the other factors are complementary, the prediction model was established by gray GM（ 1,1 ） method and time sequence method. Forecasts the World Expo is not held that international tourist arrivals （unit： Ten thousand） were 53.97, 56.58, 58.27, 59.43, 60.25, 60.87, 61.36,structure the metric index λ=X0-X0＊/X0＊, to carry on the analysis, it is known that the World Expo in shanghai has short-term drastic effect about Shanghai economic, etc.关键词
世博会/GM（1,1）模型/时间序列法/自相关函数/偏相关函数Key words
the World Expo/GM（ 1,1 ） model/time sequence method/auto correlation function/partial correlation function分类
数理科学引用本文复制引用
徐少贤,葛玉丽..利用GM（1，1）模型和时间序列法定量评估上海世博会的影响力[J].南阳师范学院学报,2011,10(12):14-17,4.基金项目
南阳师范学院STP资助课题 （）
