南阳师范学院学报2011，Vol.10Issue(12)：56-58,3.
关于中国未来强震的长期预测
The next great earthquake of China
刘承昌 1郭广猛2
作者信息
- 1. 中国石油兰化公司地震减灾办公室,甘肃兰州730060
- 2. 南阳师范学院卫星遥感中心,河南南阳473061
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
China has suffered two great earthquakes in recent 3 years, the 2008 MS. 0 Wenehuan earthquake and the 2010 M7.2 Yushu earthquake, and they caused a big loss. So it is meaningful to predict the next one. By analyzing the earthquake time series of China, we find that there exists a 44a earthquake period in the last 700 years. With this period the time of some strong earthquakes can be predicted well, such as Tangshan M7.8 earthquake in 1976 and Wenehuan M8.0 earthquake in 2008. According to this period, we consider that there will probably be a strong earthquake nearly M8.0 in China in 2015.关键词
强震/预测/2015年Key words
great earthquake/prediction/2015分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
刘承昌,郭广猛..关于中国未来强震的长期预测[J].南阳师范学院学报,2011,10(12):56-58,3.
