水利学报2011，Vol.42Issue(8)：892-898,7.
基于区间不确定性水资源复杂系统的协调演化研究
Study on coordination evolvement of complex water resources system with interval uncertainty
摘要
Abstract
Water resources system is a kind of complex system with great uncertainties. In this paper, a methodology for analyzing coordination degree of complex and uncertainty characteristics of water resources system is proposed. Based on interval uncertainty, a comprehensive development level of each subsystem in a water resources system with interval parameters could be obtained by using the Principal Component Analysis method. Then the mutual relationships between subsystems are obtained by using coordination exponent method. Finally, the order degree is determined by using information entropy to reveal the coordinated evolvement of complex water resources system. Such method has been applied to Dalian City and the resuits indicate that the coordinated evolvement of water resources system under uncertainty could objectively and factually reflect the evolutional interval and trend of a complex water resources system, which is important to decision-making for sustainable development of water resources and socio-economy.关键词
协调演化/区间不确定性/可持续发展/水资源复杂系统Key words
coordinated evolvement/interval uncertainty/sustainable development/water resources complex system分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
韩雁,黄跃飞,王光谦,王丽珍..基于区间不确定性水资源复杂系统的协调演化研究[J].水利学报,2011,42(8):892-898,7.基金项目
国家重点基础研究规划项目（973） （）
中国博士后科学基金资助项目 （）
科技部水利部公益性行业科研专项 （）
