中国电机工程学报2011，Vol.31Issue(28)：9-14,6.
基于优化相空间重构技术的风电场发电功率预测研究
Wind Power Prediction Based on Technology of Advanced Phase Space Reconstruction
陶佳 1张弘 2朱国荣 2赵萌 1张全明2
作者信息
- 1. 浙江省电力设计院,浙江省杭州市310012
- 2. 浙江省电力公司,浙江省杭州市310012
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Integration of large-scale wind-farm in power grid will impact grid planning, construction, operation and energy quality. Wind power prediction can help reduce the quantity of spinning reserve and improve the reliability of grid operation. This paper proposed a method of wind power prediction based on chaotic theory and the technology of phase space reconstruction. Optimal parameters for phase space reconstruction and prediction method were studied. The simulation result verified that these methods effectively improved the wind power prediction accuracy.关键词
风力发电/功率预测/混沌时间序列/相空间重构/C—C方法/1阶局域法Key words
wind power generation/power prediction/chaotic time series/phase space reconstruction/C-C method/one order local method分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
陶佳,张弘,朱国荣,赵萌,张全明..基于优化相空间重构技术的风电场发电功率预测研究[J].中国电机工程学报,2011,31(28):9-14,6.
