农学学报2011，Vol.1Issue(10)：69-74,6.
台商农业投资对福建农业经济增长效应的实证分析
Empirical Analysis on Effect of Agricultural Investment of Taiwan Businessmen on Growth of Agricultural Economy in Fujian
摘要
Abstract
The aim of this paper was to study the effects of investment of Taiwan businessmen on the agricultural development of Fujian.Based on the panel data of Fujian agricultural gross output value and the real investment of Taiwan businessmen in Fujian agriculture between 1991 and 2009,a quantitative analysis on the efficiency of using the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen in Fujian agriculture was conducted by using the co-integration test,error correction models and Granger causality test.It is found that there was a co-integration relationship in long-term equilibrium between the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen and the growth of Fujian agricultural economy.In the short term the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen could cause the change of Fujian agricultural gross output value in the same direction.Fujian agricultural gross output value would change at 0.674183% when the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen changed at 1%.When the short term fluctuation deviated from the long term equilibrium,non equilibrium state would be taken to the equilibrium state at the adjustment of-0.332285,indicating that there was a dynamic mode between the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen and the growth of Fujian agricultural economy.Therefore,the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen had a significant improvement to the growth of Fujian agricultural economy,but the growth of Fujian agricultural economy didn ＇ t affect the agricultural investment of Taiwan businessmen.关键词
台商农业投资/福建农业/协整检验/误差修正模型/Granger因果检验Key words
Agricultural Investment of Taiwan Businessmen/Fujian Agriculture/Co-integration Test/Error Correction Models/Granger Causality Test分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王江芳,林翊..台商农业投资对福建农业经济增长效应的实证分析[J].农学学报,2011,1(10):69-74,6.基金项目
教育部2010年度人文社科青年基金项目“新时期闽台农业合作战略演变研究”（10YJC790163) （）
福建省教育厅A类重点项目“闽台农业进一步合作的空间与潜力”（JA10080S) （）
