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基于改进GM(1,1)模型的弹道导弹位置信息预测

齐德庆 李为民 王还乡 李龙跃

空军工程大学学报(自然科学版)2012,Vol.13Issue(1):37-41,5.
空军工程大学学报(自然科学版)2012,Vol.13Issue(1):37-41,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-3516.2012.01.009

基于改进GM(1,1)模型的弹道导弹位置信息预测

Prediction of the Ballistic Missile Position Information Based on Improved GM (1,1) Model

齐德庆 1李为民 2王还乡 1李龙跃1

作者信息

  • 1. 空军工程大学导弹学院,陕西三原,713800
  • 2. 空军工程大学训练部,陕西西安,710051
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Aimed at the problems that the ballistic missile is quick in speed, the RCS of radar is small and it is very difficult for the early - warning radar to track the whole early - warning course, the improved GM (1,1) model is advanced to predict the position information of the ballistic missile. The smooth degree of original date sequence, the conformation method of background value and the beginning condition are improved in the new model, at the same time, an improved new model is built and the modeling steps are put forward. The simulation result shows that compared with the traditional GM (1,1) model, the prediction precision of the improved model is greatly improved and the application area is extended, so it can be used to predict the position information of the ballistic missile.

关键词

改进GM(1,1)模型/位置信息预测/弹道导弹

Key words

improved GM (1,1) model/ position information/ prediction

分类

武器工业

引用本文复制引用

齐德庆,李为民,王还乡,李龙跃..基于改进GM(1,1)模型的弹道导弹位置信息预测[J].空军工程大学学报(自然科学版),2012,13(1):37-41,5.

基金项目

国家"863"计划资助项目(08AAAXXX105) (08AAAXXX105)

空军工程大学学报(自然科学版)

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

2097-1915

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