农业工程学报2012，Vol.28Issue(6)：233-239,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-6819.2012.06.038
基于熵权可拓决策模型的区域粮食安全预警
Regional grain security pre-warning based on entropy weight extension decision model
摘要
Abstract
Evaluating grain security state quantitatively and determining the index weight objectively are important for regional grain security. Considering the factors about grain supply and demand, an index system of grain security pre-warning was established, and a regional grain security pre-warning model based on entropy weight and extensional theory was built. The model was applied to the grain security pre-warning analysis of Anhui province in recent 11 years (2000-2010). The results showed that the grain security situation could be divided into three states: heavy warning (2000-2004), moderate warning (2000-2004) and security state (2007-2010). The change of grain security degree of pre-warning was consistent with the fluctuation of single pre-warning index, and comprehensive security degree gradually increased. The model proposed improves the capacity of grain security pre-warning, quantitative evaluating grain security state and gives a new way for implementing grain security supervision.关键词
粮食/决策/模型/熵权/可拓决策/粮食安全预警/安全度Key words
grain/ decision making/ models/ grain security pre-warning/ entropy weight/ extension decision/ security degree分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
雷勋平,吴杨,叶松,陈兆荣,王亮..基于熵权可拓决策模型的区域粮食安全预警[J].农业工程学报,2012,28(6):233-239,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助(90924022) （90924022）
国家社科基金资助(11BJY116) （11BJY116）
安徽省哲学社会科学规划基金资助(AHSK09-10D176). （AHSK09-10D176）
