水利水电技术2012，Vol.43Issue(2)：9-13,5.
人工智能冰情预报的预报因子确定
Determination on forecast factor of artificial intelligence ice-forecast
李成振 1郭学仲 1王志兴2
作者信息
- 1. 中水东北勘测设计研究有限责任公司,吉林长春130061
- 2. 黑龙江省水利水电勘测设计院,黑龙江哈尔滨 150080
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Taking the forecast of the river break-up date of Mohe Hydrologjcal Station on the Upper Heilongjiang River as the study case, the method for determining the forecast factors during the ice-forecast with the artificial intelligence technology is studied herein. On the basis of the causation analysis, sufficient number of the relevant impact factors are obtained and taken as the factors to be selected at first from the treatments of the appropriate generalization and quantification made on all the impact factors concerned, and then more perfect forecast factors can be got by screening the factors to be selected with the method of the stepwise regression analysis.关键词
冰情预报/人工智能/预报因子/逐步回归分析/开河日期/漠河站/黑龙江Key words
ice-forecast/artificial intelligence/forecast factor/stepwise regression analysis/river break-up date/Mohe Hydro-logical Station/Heilongjiang分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
李成振,郭学仲,王志兴..人工智能冰情预报的预报因子确定[J].水利水电技术,2012,43(2):9-13,5.
