水文地质工程地质2012，Vol.39Issue(1)：19-23,41,6.
基于时间序列分析的辛安泉流量变化研究
A study of evolution of the discharge of the Xin' an Spring with time series analysis
摘要
Abstract
A model for the discharge of the Xin' an Spring was developed with time-series analysis method. The water resources in the basin from 1981 to 2006 were evaluated with the model and compared with the water resources under natural conditions. Based on the research results, the following conclusions can be drawn; (1) the function of the Xin' an Spring system is deteriorating, ( 2 ) deterioration is caused by groundwater withdrawal from the basin as well as the decrease in precipitation in the basin, and (3 ) the Xin' an Spring system can still maintain the stability of its water resources under current conditions.关键词
辛安泉/泉流量/水资源量/系统演化/时间序列Key words
Xin'an Spring/ spring discharge/ water resources/ system evolution/ time series分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
陈荦,张幼宽,王长申..基于时间序列分析的辛安泉流量变化研究[J].水文地质工程地质,2012,39(1):19-23,41,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(40972153) （40972153）
