地质通报2012，Vol.31Issue(1)：181-189,9.
当前全球矿业形势分析与展望
An analysis and outlook for global mining.
摘要
Abstract
Global mining, characterized by its obvious periodic features, is closely related to industrialization process. The cycle of min-ing industry was consistent with that of global economic development. Demand for resources is progressive in terms of time, which determines the continuous prosperity of mining industry. The shifting of center of global mining happened with that of global industri-alization. Global mining has entered into the third cycle since 2003, in which industrial concentration has been strengthened, monopoly characteristics become more noticeable, and low-cost era of minerals came to an end. The entry of financial capital into mineral commodity market makes mineral commodity price system more complicated. In medium-and-long-term, industrialization and urbanization of new emerging countries, such as China, India and African countries will not be a standstill, and rigid demand for resources will push the super cycle of mining industry forward. In medium-and-short-term, Euro-US debt crisis keep worsening, and middle-east situation is undergoing great changes. The risk of double dip of global economy is increasing, the recovery of global economy does not live up to expectations, and the demand for minerals is decreasing. Opening of new mine capacities resulted in a new adjustment phase of mineral prices. Global mining can be characterized by "weak demand, higher price, volatility intensifying" for some time to come.关键词
矿业周期/矿业形势/矿产品价格/经济二次探底Key words
mining cycle/mining situation/mineral commodity prices/double dip of economics分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
施俊法,周平,唐金荣,杨宗喜,朱丽丽,金玺..当前全球矿业形势分析与展望[J].地质通报,2012,31(1):181-189,9.基金项目
中国地质调查局项目《国外重要矿产勘查进展与找矿案例研究》(编号:1212011120349)和《国外地质调查战略情报编译与专题研究》(编号:1212011120175) （编号:1212011120349）
