中国人口·资源与环境2012，Vol.22Issue(3)：77-81,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2012.03.013
钢铁行业碳减排情景仿真分析及评价研究
Simulation Analysis and Evaluation on Carbon Reduction Scenarios in Steel Industry
摘要
Abstract
In China, carbon emissions from iron and steel industry account for 15% of the national total. Therefore, to reduce carbon emission from steel industry is the key to completing the national carbon emission reduction targets. A simulation model of carbon emission reduction was proposed based on technological progress and environmental externality. In different technological progress and production externality scenarios, the model takes into considerations the affect of energy-saving technology on sector/regional carbon reduction emissions. Three carbon emission reduction scenarios were designed, namely: locking scenarios, growth scenarios and promotion scenarios. Finally, the model was used for in simulation analysis and evaluation and evaluation on the carbon reduction emission potential of iron and steel industry in Chongqing. Based on the conclusion, in order to achieve the carbon emission reduction targets in iron and steel industry, (J)under the current policy environment of carbon emission reduction, energy-saving technology should be developed and applied in iron and steel industry of Chongqing; ?the investment in R&D of energy-saving technologies and the diffusion should be enhanced, and the effect of carbon emission reduction be strengthened; ?right technologies should be selected for investment and promotion, utilization efficiency of investment be improved and the effect of carbon emission reduction be maximized with limited investment.关键词
钢铁行业/碳排放/技术扩散/情景设计/低碳示范城市Key words
steel industry/ carbon emissions/ technology diffusion/ scene design/ low-carbon model city分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
刘贞,蒲刚清,施於人,阎建明,胡健..钢铁行业碳减排情景仿真分析及评价研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2012,22(3):77-81,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(编号:71073095) （编号:71073095）
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金(编号:10YJC630161). （编号:10YJC630161）
