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电力市场环境下考虑风电预测误差的经济调度模型

吴栋梁 王扬 郭创新 刘毅 高振兴

电力系统自动化2012,Vol.36Issue(6):23-28,6.
电力系统自动化2012,Vol.36Issue(6):23-28,6.

电力市场环境下考虑风电预测误差的经济调度模型

An Economic Dispatching Model Considering Wind Power Forecast Errors in Electricity Market Environment

吴栋梁 1王扬 2郭创新 2刘毅 3高振兴4

作者信息

  • 1. 浙江大学电气工程学院,浙江省杭州市310027/芜湖供电公司,安徽省芜湖市241027
  • 2. 浙江大学电气工程学院,浙江省杭州市310027
  • 3. 华东电网有限公司,上海市200002
  • 4. 烟台供电公司,山东省烟台市264001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

An economic dispatching model of the power system considering wind power forecast error in the electricity market environment is developed.For a certain wind power forecast value,a Beta function is used to fit the probability density distribution of the real-time available output power.Considering the probability of the forecast error and the economic compensation cost they caused,a more reasonable dispatching model in statistics is proposed.The model is based on the more sound electricity market environment,and the cost of greenhouse gas emission right that needs to be considered by the power company is taken into account.A simulation case compares the effects of the wind power forecast errors on the market clearing price and average purchasing cost of the power grid.The result shows that the proposed model can effectively reduce the operating cost of the power company,and promote the optimal allocation of resources.

关键词

风力发电/预测误差/电力市场/经济调度

Key words

wind power/forecast error/electricity market/economic dispatching

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

吴栋梁,王扬,郭创新,刘毅,高振兴..电力市场环境下考虑风电预测误差的经济调度模型[J].电力系统自动化,2012,36(6):23-28,6.

电力系统自动化

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-1026

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