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城市自然灾害综合风险评估问题研究

张明媛 刘妍 袁永博

防灾减灾工程学报2012,Vol.32Issue(2):176-180,5.
防灾减灾工程学报2012,Vol.32Issue(2):176-180,5.

城市自然灾害综合风险评估问题研究

Research on Integrated Risk Evaluation on Urban Natural Disaster

张明媛 1刘妍 1袁永博1

作者信息

  • 1. 大连理工大学建设工程学部,辽宁大连116024
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Considering the complexity of the process of integrated risk evaluation on urban natural disaster, the authors propose a method for risk evaluation based on case-based reasoning. Paying more attention on the uncertainty, it takes the integrated risk as a uncertain system comprising hazard and vulnerability to get the risk values from set pair calculation, which would be considered as forward examples. The variable fuzzy cluster method is used to process the risk results for CBR to get a new sample structure which is good for quick retrieve. Some revised examples become new samples through circulation, and the number and variety will of sample increase. The above process will simplify the risk evaluation and obtain more accurate result. The paper finally verifies the method through an example.

关键词

城市自然灾害/综合风险/基于事例推理(CBR)/可变模糊聚类

Key words

urban natural disaster/ integrated risk/ case-based reasoning (CBR)/ variable fuzzy cluster

分类

自科综合

引用本文复制引用

张明媛,刘妍,袁永博..城市自然灾害综合风险评估问题研究[J].防灾减灾工程学报,2012,32(2):176-180,5.

基金项目

国家"十一五"科技支撑计划项目(2006BAJ06B08)资助 (2006BAJ06B08)

防灾减灾工程学报

OA北大核心CSCD

1672-2132

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