火力与指挥控制2012，Vol.37Issue(5)：106-109,4.
装甲装备周转备件需求最优组合预测
Research on Optimum Combination Forecasting of Armored Equipment Turnover Parts Demand
摘要
Abstract
Aiming at shortage of monomial statistic forecasting model, a point was presented that combination forecasting method is adopted to forecast turnover parts demand in this paper, and optimal combination forecasting model is founded. Firstly, the paper introduces basic principles of combination forecasting and common monomial statistic forecasting model. On the basis of forecasting result precision and steadiness the optimal combination forecasting model is founded based on forecasting error absolute value and minimal turnover parts, and these methods are presented that can confirm evevy weighting coefficient and forecast evaluation result. Finally,its validity and superionty are tested by the combination with the cases.关键词
装甲装备/周转备件/组合预测Key words
armored equipment/ turnover parts/ combination forecasting分类
军事科技引用本文复制引用
孟祥辉,徐宗昌..装甲装备周转备件需求最优组合预测[J].火力与指挥控制,2012,37(5):106-109,4.基金项目
装备技术基础基金资助项目(CX0924) （CX0924）
