电力系统保护与控制2012，Vol.40Issue(11)：149-155,7.
随机生产模拟在电力系统中的应用
Applications of probabilistic production simulation in power system
摘要
Abstract
Probabilistic production simulation is an important tool for economic and technical analysis in power system. And it is widely used in many areas such as production costs calculation, power system planning and reliability evaluation, etc. This paper firstly introduces several traditional methods of probabilistic production simulation, and then describes a new method which has been developed in recent years that is nodal probabilistic production cost simulation considering transmission unavailability. Based on the above, the paper then reviews the applications of the probabilistic production simulation in power system, including generation expansion planning, reliability evaluation, unit commitment and electricity market. At the same time, the paper describes the applications of the probabilistic production simulation in wind power integrated system, especially the applications of Monte Carlo simulation. Finally, some recommendations about the application prospect of the probabilistic production in power system are put forward.关键词
随机生产模拟/电力系统/规划/运行/蒙特卡罗/风电Key words
probabilistic production simulation/ power system/ planning/ operation/ Monte Carlo/ wind power分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
于若英,高山..随机生产模拟在电力系统中的应用[J].电力系统保护与控制,2012,40(11):149-155,7.基金项目
国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)资助课题(2011AA05A105) （863计划）
