路基工程Issue(1)：1-3,3.
采用灰色-马尔可夫耦合模型预测古树屋边坡变形
Prediction of Gushuwu Slope Deformation with Grey-Markov Coupled Model
摘要
Abstract
The predicted status is distinguished depending on the relative error between predicted fitting value and actual monitoring value,and grey GM（1,1）predictive value is corrected with Markov Chain and then the range of slope deformation and the relevant predictive value could be calculated.Thus the predicted value of the slope deformation is calculated to 57.006 0 mm varying from 56.845 8 to 61.755 4 in such manner that take Gushuwu cutting slope as the study object and predict the deformation with the coupled model.The case analysis shows that the accuracy of the prediction of cutting slope deformation with grey-Markov coupled model is higher than that with linear regression model and simple grey model;furthermore,the deformation range could be predicted accurately.关键词
变形预测/GM（1,1）/马尔可夫链/开挖边坡/耦合模型Key words
deformation prediction/GM(1/1)/Markov Chain/cutting slope/coupled model分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
林孝松,刘书军,许江..采用灰色-马尔可夫耦合模型预测古树屋边坡变形[J].路基工程,2012,(1):1-3,3.基金项目
国家自然科学基金 （）
重庆市交委科技攻关项目 （）
重庆市教委科技项目 （）
