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基于贝叶斯估计的直流电法探测可靠性评价

李丰军 翁克瑞 龚承柱

煤矿安全2012,Vol.43Issue(2):158-162,5.
煤矿安全2012,Vol.43Issue(2):158-162,5.

基于贝叶斯估计的直流电法探测可靠性评价

Reliability Evaluation of DC Method Based on Bayesian

李丰军 1翁克瑞 2龚承柱2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国地质大学经济管理学院,湖北武汉430074/平煤股份五矿,河南平顶山450007
  • 2. 中国地质大学经济管理学院,湖北武汉430074
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This paper,using probability theory,proposed a method to evaluate the reliability of DC method based on Bayesian by studying the results of DC detection.In order to properly consider all kinds of information in processing,using the mixed Beta distribution,the prior distribution parameters and inheriting factor were identified in terms of historical samples,then used the posterior distribution to determine reliability of DC method and decision-making.Finally,combined No.5 Coal Mine of PingMei,calculated the reliability of different mining areas.The results show that this method can be used to prevent and control of water disasters by coal mining enterprises,which could improve the benefit of investment.

关键词

直流电法/贝叶斯估计/Beta分布/可靠性评价

Key words

DC method/bayesian/beta distribution/reliability evaluation

分类

矿业与冶金

引用本文复制引用

李丰军,翁克瑞,龚承柱..基于贝叶斯估计的直流电法探测可靠性评价[J].煤矿安全,2012,43(2):158-162,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目 ()

中国地质大学(武汉)资源环境经济研究中心开放基金资助项目 ()

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1003-496X

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