大气科学学报2012，Vol.35Issue(1)：24-31,8.
西北太平洋台风季节预报的数值模拟
Simulation of seasonal tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific by using the WRF model
摘要
Abstract
By using the WRF（ weather research and forecasting） model, the paper simulated the seasonal tropical cyclone activity over western North Pacific from 1 July to 30 September 2006. Results show that： 1 ） the simulated total number of Typhoons is close to that from Best-track data set. The simulated landfall TC number is less than that of real Typhoon number and it is the same for separate monthly landfall number. The simulated intensity of Typhoons is weaker than that from Best-track data set;2） the model shows better ability in reproducing Typhoon and the height and wind vertical shear fields in July, but the ability tends to be weaker as the model time increases. This suggests that the model can be used to simulate the feature of seasonal tropical cyclone activity but the time limit needs further exploration.关键词
WRF模式/台风/季节预报Key words
WRF model/tropical cyclone/seasonal simulation分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
王咏青,宋天元,梁驹,潘维玉..西北太平洋台风季节预报的数值模拟[J].大气科学学报,2012,35(1):24-31,8.基金项目
公益性行业（气象）科研专项（GYHY（QX）200806009） （）
江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目 （）
