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我国非农产业对城市化贡献率的实证分析——基于VAR模型和方差分解

郭志仪 张耀东

山西农业大学学报:社会科学版2012,Vol.11Issue(1):51-55,5.
山西农业大学学报:社会科学版2012,Vol.11Issue(1):51-55,5.

我国非农产业对城市化贡献率的实证分析——基于VAR模型和方差分解

Empirical Study on the Contribution of Non-agricultural Industries to Urbanization——Based on the VAR Model and Variance Decomposition

郭志仪 1张耀东1

作者信息

  • 1. 兰州大学经济学院,甘肃兰州730000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

By building the VAR model which contains the urbanization rate and the employees proportion of the secondary and tertiary industries, using the analytical technology of variance decomposition, it made empirical study on the contribution of non-agricultural industries to urbanization.It found that long-term dynamic relationship between the three variables existed; the secondary industry's contribution to urbanization was low but relatively stable for a long time; the tertiary industry's contribution to urbanization is always growing in the analysis period but does not become the main driving force of urbanization.

关键词

城镇化/非农产业/VAR模型/方差分解/贡献率

Key words

Urbanization/Non-agricultural industries/VAR model/Variance decomposition/Contribution rate

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

郭志仪,张耀东..我国非农产业对城市化贡献率的实证分析——基于VAR模型和方差分解[J].山西农业大学学报:社会科学版,2012,11(1):51-55,5.

山西农业大学学报:社会科学版

OACHSSCD

1671-816X

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