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中国快速城镇化的边际环境污染效应变化实证分析

蒋洪强 张静 王金南 张伟 卢亚灵

生态环境学报2012,Vol.21Issue(2):293-297,5.
生态环境学报2012,Vol.21Issue(2):293-297,5.

中国快速城镇化的边际环境污染效应变化实证分析

Accounting model and demonstration for marginal environmental effects of the rapid urbanization in China

蒋洪强 1张静 1王金南 1张伟 1卢亚灵1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国环境规划院环境规划与政策模拟重点实验室,北京100012
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to analyze marginal environmental effects of China's rapid urbanization, a model was built to calculate the variation of contaminants caused by every one percentage-point increasing in the urbanization. The results show that the rapid urbanization has brought serious contradictions between its development and the environmental protection. From 1996 to 2009, urban waste-water discharges, COD, NH3-N and urban solid waste productions and NOX, CO2 emissions show positive relationships with every one percentage-point increasing in the urbanization. Due to the significant increase of the sludge treatment rate, COD and NH3-N emissions increasing with every one percentage-point increasing in the urbanization, which are positive during the period of the Tenth Five-Year Plan, turn to negative through the Eleventh Five-Year Plan. Besides, the less coal consumption results in decreased SO2 emissions with every one percentage-point increasing in the urbanization during the period of the Tenth and Eleventh Five-Year Plans. In conclusion, it is better for China to open up a path of Chinese characteristic urban development and hold rationally the speed and rhythm of the urban development to promote the harmony between the urban development and the environment.

关键词

城镇化/测算模型/边际环境效应/实证分析

Key words

urbanization/ accounting model/ marginal environmental effects/ demonstration

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

蒋洪强,张静,王金南,张伟,卢亚灵..中国快速城镇化的边际环境污染效应变化实证分析[J].生态环境学报,2012,21(2):293-297,5.

基金项目

环保公益性行业科研专项经费(2010467066) (2010467066)

国家自然科学基金项目(70831005) (70831005)

生态环境学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1674-5906

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