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中国能源需求与影响因素的协整分析

张粒子 何勇健 葛炬

中国电力2012,Vol.45Issue(2):74-77,4.
中国电力2012,Vol.45Issue(2):74-77,4.

中国能源需求与影响因素的协整分析

Co-integration relationship between energy demand and the main influence factors on it in China

张粒子 1何勇健 1葛炬1

作者信息

  • 1. 华北电力大学,北京102206
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The relationship between energy demand and the main influence factors on it in China was analyzed based on the co-integration theory. The long-term equilibrium equation and error correction model were established and used to forecast the future energy demand in China. The results show that the energy demand in China in the next five years will continue to grow strongly. In order to reach the goal of total energy demand control in the Twelfth National Five-Year Plan, it is necessary to optimize the industrial structure, speed up the technical advancement and renovation, and improve energy efficiency.

关键词

能源需求/影响因素/协整理论/中国

Key words

energy demand/influence factor/co-integration theory/China

分类

能源科技

引用本文复制引用

张粒子,何勇健,葛炬..中国能源需求与影响因素的协整分析[J].中国电力,2012,45(2):74-77,4.

中国电力

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1004-9649

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