农学学报2012，Vol.2Issue(4)：63-68,6.
气候变化对农业生产的影响——以山东省诸城市为例
Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Production——Taking Zhucheng City Shandong Province for Example
吴建梅 1孙金森 1陈林祥 1马英洁 2徐桂华3
作者信息
- 1. 诸城市气象局,山东诸城262200
- 2. 昌乐县气象局,山东昌乐262400
- 3. 潍坊市气象局,山东潍坊261000
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
In order to deal with the impact of climate change on agricultural production, find out its change rule and direct local agricultural production better, we do statistical analysis of the climate change in Zhucheng, reveal the characteristics of climatic variation, analyze its impact on agricultural production, properly direct local agricultural production. We choose the temperature and precipitation data between 1961 and 2010 in Zhucheng and analyze its yearly and seasonly change characteristics using the linear tendency estimate method. The result shows that the average temperature of Zhucheng has an overall rise in the nearly 50 years past （0.383℃/10 years） and that it has an obvious rise in the late 1990s. The temperature of each season also has a rising trend. The winter has the largest increase in temperature. The rainfall of the year, the summer and the autumn is decreasing overall and that of the spring and the winter is increasing. Climate warming bring more advantages to agricultural production than disadvantages. Extreme events of rainfall happen a little more often. There is more possibility of droughts and floods, which will bring more disasters to agriculture. With the climate warming, the increasing events of extreme rainfall, and greater impact on agricultural production, we will strengthen the forecast to make effective prevention of meteorological disasters, and reduce economic loss.关键词
气温/降水量/变化特征/农业生产Key words
Temperature/Rainfall/Change Characteristics/Agricultural Production分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
吴建梅,孙金森,陈林祥,马英洁,徐桂华..气候变化对农业生产的影响——以山东省诸城市为例[J].农学学报,2012,2(4):63-68,6.
