中国人口·资源与环境2012，Vol.22Issue(4)：35-39,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2012.04.007
沼气的减排效果和农户采纳行为影响因素分析
Analysis of Methane Emission Reduction Effect and Factors on Farmers' Adoption Behavior
摘要
Abstract
Using quantitative analysis method, based on statistical reports, the paper analyzes effects of methane emissions. The results showed that; from 2000 to 2009, the average methane consumption in rural areas was equivalent to 6.022 million t of standard coal consumption, and was equivalent to 8. 434 238 million t of coal consumption. In 2009, by $ 10/ t CO2 terms, the profit of China' s rural CO2 emissions made by methane substituting coal in the rural areas was $ 43 million. It is estimated that by 2015, China's rural household methane will reach 23.3 billion m3, plus large-scale farms' and farming communities' methane production of 670 million m3, a total of 23.97 billion m3, equivalent to 17 114 600 t standard coal, with the revenue of $ 171 million. Using survey of 160 households in Hunan which is a typical methane province in China, the paper builds the model to analyze the effects the 20 variables (including the basic situation of households, production status, cognitive, economic status, etc. ) to farmers' adoption behavior of methane. The results show that farmers' sex, age, participation in associations, environmental awareness, and external financial support for farmers, play either positive or negative impacts on fanners' adoption behavior. From the perspective of reduction, the importance of further rural methane construction is demonstrated in the paper. From the perspective of factors of farmers' behavior, it is demonstrated that to promote methane development in rural areas is a complex system involving publicity, training, service, technology, associations, and funds, etc.关键词
沼气/减排/预测/采纳行为Key words
methane/reduction/forecast/adoption behavior分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
朱立志,赵鱼..沼气的减排效果和农户采纳行为影响因素分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2012,22(4):35-39,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(编号:71173221) （编号:71173221）
农业部农村能源综合建设项目(2011) （2011）
中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项. （）
