煤田地质与勘探2012，Vol.40Issue(2)：55-58,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-1986.2012.02.013
灰色理论在矿井涌水量预测中的应用
Application of gray theory in the prediction of coal mine water discharge
摘要
Abstract
GM(1,1) model was built up by gray theory to predict coal mine water discharge. Based on the floor water inrush data of a coal mine working face in Taiyuan Formation, the model accuracy was improved to 96.26 percent by increasing frequency of observation and data density. The comparison of forecast data and actual data indicated that the model was reliable. In order to strengthen the safety and supervision of the working face, a cap of abnormal data was set up with actual hydrogeological conditions and the drainage ability to obtain the prediction of water inflow, abnormal time and amount.关键词
灰色理论/涌水量预测/GM(1,1)模型/上灾变阈值Key words
gray theory/ the prediction of water discharge/ GM(l,l)model/ a cap of abnormal data分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
褚程程,杨滨滨..灰色理论在矿井涌水量预测中的应用[J].煤田地质与勘探,2012,40(2):55-58,4.基金项目
国家大学生创新性实验计划项目(091029017) （091029017）
