热带地理2012,Vol.32Issue(2):128-133,140,7.
农村劳动力回流的影响因素分析——以广东省云浮市为例
Influencing Factors of Return Choice for Rural Migrant Workers:A Case Study of Yunfu City, Guangdong Province
摘要
Abstract
Mass migration movements from countryside to city have exerted an enormous influence on allocation of resources and economic development in China since Reform and Opening-Up. At present, the pattern of the movements has changed from unidirectional flow between cities and countryside to bidirectional, that will profoundly produce influence to the prospect of economic development in rural China. Establishing a Logistic model for employment behavior of rural labor with the data from peasant-household-survey in Yunfu, Guangdong, the paper explores the determinants of the return migration from cities. The result of the empirical study shows that those people who are of older ages, have lower human resource, more children and have been married have bigger possibility of return. And the effect of out-migration time on the probability of return presents a converse-U-shape distribution. Moreover, the chances of finding a job at hometown and the location of the village also exert influence over migration workers' decision about returning home. Those migration workers whose hometown has more employment opportunity and whose village is closer to county town have bigger possibility of return. The variables of gender and per capita arable land have no significant effect on returning home.关键词
劳动力回流/影响因素/Logistic模型/云浮市Key words
return migration: influencing factors/ logistic model/ Yunfu City分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
殷江滨,李郇..农村劳动力回流的影响因素分析——以广东省云浮市为例[J].热带地理,2012,32(2):128-133,140,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(40871066 ()
41101129) ()
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(08JJD820170) (08JJD820170)