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ATOVS不同卫星资料在台风模拟中的同化试验研究

李兴武 董海萍 郭卫东 高太长

热带气象学报2012,Vol.28Issue(2):157-166,10.
热带气象学报2012,Vol.28Issue(2):157-166,10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-4965.2012.02.002

ATOVS不同卫星资料在台风模拟中的同化试验研究

DATA ASSIMILATION EXPERIMENTS IN TYPHOON NUMERICAL PREDICTION USING DIFFERENT ATOVS RADIANCE

李兴武 1董海萍 2郭卫东 3高太长3

作者信息

  • 1. 解放军理工大学气象学院,江苏南京211101
  • 2. 中国人民解放军95026部队,广东佛山528227
  • 3. 空军气象中心,北京100843
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the mesoscale model WRF and its corresponding three-dimensional system WRF-3DVAR, this study adopts a continuous data assimilation method to construct 12 experiments on different ATOVS radiance data, to discuss the impact of different ATOVS radiance data on the intensity and track simulation of the Super typhoon "Fanapi". The results show that on the aspect of intensity, the assimilation of ATOVS radiance data could improve typhoon intensity effectively, the average bias of the central sea level pressure (CSLP) drops to 18hPa, compared to 42hPa of the experiment without data assimilation. However, the difference among the data assimilation experiments are rather indistinctive, less than 6hPa on average, which indicates that the assimilation of ATOVS solely could have relative improvement on typhoon intensity. On the simulation of track, firstly, the data from identical sensors of different NOAA satellites could produce different effect, in terms of the AMSU-A, NOAA-15 and NOAA-18 produce equivalent improvement, whereas NOAA-16 produces slightly worse effect; while the AMSU-A data of NOAA-16 lead to poorest improvement; and for the AMSU-B, NOAA-15 and NOAA-16 produce equivalent and more positive impacts than the AMSU-A. Secondly, assimilation radiance from different sensors of identical satellite could also produce different effects, the AMSU-B produces the largest improvement, the HIRS-3 is inferior to the AMSU-B, whereas the AMSU-A appears to the poorest improvement, moreover, the assimilation of different radiance simultaneously couldn't produce further improvement. Finally, the experiments of assimilation radiance from multiform satellites simultaneously imply that it may reduce the quality of analysis due to accumulative bias while adding various radiance data into the model, thus the assimilation of ATOVS radiance from single satellite may perform better than two or three satellites.

关键词

数值天气预报/台风模拟/连续循环同化/ATVOS卫星资料/对比试验

Key words

numerical weather prediction/ typhoon simulation/ data assimilation cycle/ ATOVS radiance/ contrast experiment

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

李兴武,董海萍,郭卫东,高太长..ATOVS不同卫星资料在台风模拟中的同化试验研究[J].热带气象学报,2012,28(2):157-166,10.

热带气象学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1004-4965

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