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G2京津塘高速公路万辆车流的交通事故灾害与气象综合指数的关系

丁德平 李迅 张德山 张庆林 甘璐 杨树林

灾害学2012,Vol.27Issue(3):107-110,4.
灾害学2012,Vol.27Issue(3):107-110,4.

G2京津塘高速公路万辆车流的交通事故灾害与气象综合指数的关系

The Traffic Accidents of Huabei Freeway and its Relation to the Meteorological Composite Index

丁德平 1李迅 1张德山 1张庆林 1甘璐 1杨树林1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京市气象局,北京 100089
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on investigation of traffic accidents, traffic flow and meteorological factors data of Huabei Freeway from Mar. 2007 to Feb. 2010, the diurnal variation of traffic accidents is presented at 5 am, and the peak of annul average could reach to 2. 34 times. The correlation between the traffic accidents among one million of traffic flow and the same period of the meteorological composite index during annul, spring, summer, autumn and winter present parabola, and the correlation coefficients account for 0. 778 1 to 0. 853 7 , satisfy statistics verifying (R >Ra=0.05 and F> Fa=0.05). In order to better use the meteorological monitoring information and to improve the safety of freeway, the meteorological composite risk level index is designed for supplying scientific grounds.

关键词

交通工程/气象综合指数/相关分析/京津塘高速公路/交通事故灾害

Key words

traffic engineering/meteorological composite index/Correlation Analysis/Jing-Jin-Tang Freeway/traffic accidents

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

丁德平,李迅,张德山,张庆林,甘璐,杨树林..G2京津塘高速公路万辆车流的交通事故灾害与气象综合指数的关系[J].灾害学,2012,27(3):107-110,4.

基金项目

“十一五”国家科技支撑计划课题“国家高速公路安全和服务技术开发与工程应用示范”(2009BAG13A03) (2009BAG13A03)

交通运输高影响天气预警技术研究(GYHY200906027) (GYHY200906027)

道路天气预警服务、对策与气象服务效益评估(201006033) (201006033)

灾害学

OA北大核心CSCD

1000-811X

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