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小子样状态下舰船特种阀门可靠性评估方法

刘少刚 李少杰 舒海生 赵丹 李芳 谷青明

哈尔滨工程大学学报2012,Vol.33Issue(4):496-500,5.
哈尔滨工程大学学报2012,Vol.33Issue(4):496-500,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-7043.201104090

小子样状态下舰船特种阀门可靠性评估方法

Research on the reliability assessment of special vessel valves under a small sample condition

刘少刚 1李少杰 1舒海生 1赵丹 1李芳 1谷青明1

作者信息

  • 1. 哈尔滨工程大学机电工程学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001
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摘要

Abstract

In order to reduce the difficulty of assessing special vessel valves, a new method of reliability assessment was proposed based on Bayes theory and similarity theory. The posterior distribution was obtained from prior information and current data, and then the precise similarity value between the new valve and the old one was calculated by using similarity theory. The fused posterior distribution was acquired by means of the integration of the history posterior and the posterior distribution. Combined with an example, lower confidence limits of reliability on a new special valve obtained by classical methods, traditional Bayesian analysis, and the new method proposed here were listed and analyzed. Therefore, the scientific quality and applicability of the new method proposed in this paper were verified. The features of two-parameter Weibull distribution of the new valve were analyzed, and the reliability function and reliability life expressions were obtained. Additionally, the calculation results were used as the criteria of product acceptance. Reliability evaluation precision was improved by this method in practical applications and the quantity of the test samples was significantly reduced.

关键词

舰船特种阀门/可靠性评估/Bayes理论/相似性理论/寿命分布

Key words

vessel special valve/ reliability assessment/ Bayes theory/ similarity theory/ life distribution

分类

通用工业技术

引用本文复制引用

刘少刚,李少杰,舒海生,赵丹,李芳,谷青明..小子样状态下舰船特种阀门可靠性评估方法[J].哈尔滨工程大学学报,2012,33(4):496-500,5.

基金项目

校企合作研究基金资助项目(mmp10044). (mmp10044)

哈尔滨工程大学学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1006-7043

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