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基于灰色理论的事故伤亡预测分析

李俊勤 贾智伟

河南城建学院学报2012,Vol.21Issue(3):44-47,4.
河南城建学院学报2012,Vol.21Issue(3):44-47,4.

基于灰色理论的事故伤亡预测分析

Predictive analysis of accident casualties based on gray theory

李俊勤 1贾智伟1

作者信息

  • 1. 河南理工大学安全科学与工程学院,河南焦作454003 河南省煤矿瓦斯与火灾防治重点实验室,河南焦作454003
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Using the theory of gray system prediction, a dynamic GM ( 1,1 ) model was establish based on cas- ualty statistics of the workers of a chemical company. The gray prediction for thousands of wounded workers in 2011 and 2012 was made and the prediction accuracy was verified. The results show that it fit a higher degree which provides a reference for the safety and production of enterprises.

关键词

灰色预测/GM(1,1)模型/精度检验/千人负伤率

Key words

gray prediction/GM ( 1,1 ) model/accuracy test/rate of thousands wounded people

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资源环境

引用本文复制引用

李俊勤,贾智伟..基于灰色理论的事故伤亡预测分析[J].河南城建学院学报,2012,21(3):44-47,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目 ()

河南城建学院学报

1674-7046

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