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台风“圆规”路径预报偏差分析

王坚侃 何宽科 徐哲永

海洋预报2012,Vol.29Issue(3):48-52,5.
海洋预报2012,Vol.29Issue(3):48-52,5.

台风“圆规”路径预报偏差分析

Deviation analysis of forecasted "Kompasu" track

王坚侃 1何宽科 1徐哲永1

作者信息

  • 1. 舟山市气象局,浙江舟山316021
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on environment field, satellite images and the data of insular AWS (Automatic Weather Station), the reason that No. 1007 tropical cyclone "KOMPASU" keeping stable track under the influence of "three cyclones" and the strong Subtropical High is analyzed. It shows that the weaker Tropical Cyclone has little impact on the relatively violent typhoon; the inner force of eccentric typhoon has much relative relationship with its own structure; the warming of the right front of typhoon can provide guidance for the typhoon track.

关键词

路径预报/三气旋/偏心结构

Key words

track/ forecast/ three cyclone/ eccentric structure

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

王坚侃,何宽科,徐哲永..台风“圆规”路径预报偏差分析[J].海洋预报,2012,29(3):48-52,5.

海洋预报

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