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极值理论在飞机操纵系统安全性评估中的应用

张天 潘天峰 张蓉

空军工程大学学报(自然科学版)2012,Vol.13Issue(3):11-14,4.
空军工程大学学报(自然科学版)2012,Vol.13Issue(3):11-14,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-3516.2012.03.003

极值理论在飞机操纵系统安全性评估中的应用

Application of Extreme Value Theory on Flight Safety Evaluation of Flight Control System for Aircrafts

张天 1潘天峰 1张蓉1

作者信息

  • 1. 空军工程大学航空航天工程学院,陕西西安,710038
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Fly - By - Wire ( FBW) system is safety - critical system for flight safety. Regarding safety evaluation problem of FBW system, flight risk small probability event evaluation method based on Extreme Value Theory (EVT) after flight control systems failure is proposed. Step of evaluating flight risk based on EVT is summarized. By contrasting the fitting effects under different coordinate transformations, the result shows that double negative exponential is the best method of approaching extreme value distribution of type. Taking flight safety evaluation after execution failure of one aircraft for example, probability of unsuccessfully eliminating the failure for the pilot and the integrated flight risk are calculated. According to flight risk in military standard, this aircraft can satisfy the safety requirements. Then an available method of evaluating safety of aircrafts'flight control system is proposed.

关键词

极值理论/飞行安全/安全性评估/操纵系统

Key words

EVT/ flight safety/ safety evaluation/ flight control system

引用本文复制引用

张天,潘天峰,张蓉..极值理论在飞机操纵系统安全性评估中的应用[J].空军工程大学学报(自然科学版),2012,13(3):11-14,4.

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