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基于AHP-CIM模型水闸工程投资风险分析

徐林 刘敏芝

三峡大学学报(自然科学版)2012,Vol.34Issue(3):25-29,5.
三峡大学学报(自然科学版)2012,Vol.34Issue(3):25-29,5.

基于AHP-CIM模型水闸工程投资风险分析

Investment Risk Analysis of Sluice Project Based on AHP-CIM Model

徐林 1刘敏芝2

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学水利水电学院,南京210098
  • 2. 舟山市财政项目预算审核中心,浙江舟山316021
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Sluice is one of the most common hydro-junctions at the flat area. In recent years,with the increasing investment in water conservancy,sluice project will also increase the cost of money. It needs to focus the problems that how to achieve the efficient allocation of resources and establish a reasonable evaluation system of the sluice investment risks. Using the relatively successful economic risk assessment controlled interval and memory(CIM) Model and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) model to analyze the sluice project investment risk is better handling of the project investment risk analysis. It's easy to bridge the gap of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis and have the higher accuracy of the results, so as to the results provide decision support for project decision makers.

关键词

水闸工程/投资风险/CIM-AHP模型/风险等级/评价体系

Key words

sluice project/ investment risk/ CIM-AHP model/ risk level/ evaluation system

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

徐林,刘敏芝..基于AHP-CIM模型水闸工程投资风险分析[J].三峡大学学报(自然科学版),2012,34(3):25-29,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(51109071) (51109071)

三峡大学学报(自然科学版)

OACSTPCD

1672-948X

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