运筹与管理2012，Vol.21Issue(2)：202-211,10.
非常规突发事件及其社会影响分析——基于引致因素耦合协调度模型
Research on the Unexpected Emergency and its Social Influence Power Based on the Coupling Degree Model Between the Intrinsic and Extrinsic Incurring factors
摘要
Abstract
Because the unexpected emergency includes the characteristics of sudden devastating, uncertain evolution and diffusion in the groups, more and more researchers concentrate on this topic and try to find the rules which can help the public managers to make the decision. Especially, with the development of technology and the popularization of internet, the new media make the information of unexpected emergency broadcasted more rapidly and the emergency had more powerful influence on the whole society. But the traditional mechanism of emergency management can not explain the new phenomenon bringing by the new media. Therefore we try to research the unexpected emergency from the microcosmic viewpoint. This paper focus on the intrinsic and extrinsic incur factor of the unexpected emergency, and try to model the coupling degree between them, which we hypothesized will impact the social influence of the emergency . In order to prove it we use case study method to explore the relationship between the coupling degree and social influence. Finally, we prove that there exists the positive relationship between the coupling degree and social influence.关键词
管理科学与工程/引致因素/耦合协调度/非常规突发事件Key words
management science and engineering/ incur factor/ coupling coordinating degree/ unexpected emergency分类
自科综合引用本文复制引用
张一文,齐佳音,方滨兴,李欲晓..非常规突发事件及其社会影响分析——基于引致因素耦合协调度模型[J].运筹与管理,2012,21(2):202-211,10.基金项目
国家自然科学基金重大研究项目(90124007) （90124007）
国家自然科学基金资助项目(90924029) （90924029）
北京市自然科学基金资助项目(9122018) （9122018）
