电力系统自动化2012，Vol.36Issue(14)：108-112,5.
考虑新能源发电不确定性的可用输电能力风险效益评估
Evaluation of Risk and Benefit of ATC Relating to Uncertainty of Renewable Energy Power Generation
摘要
Abstract
With the rapid development of renewable energy power generation, its intermittence and stochastic of output power have significant influence on available transfer capability （ATC）. The characteristics of the renewable energy power generation, e.g. the intermittence, stochastic, load fluctuation, and status uncertainty, are simulated through Monte Carlo simulation method. The ATC under specific status and parameters of system are solved through optimal power flow. The probability density of ATC samples is defined by applying probability statistics theory to establish a risk benefit model, and to achieve ATC with maximum comprehensive benefits. To analyze the influence of renewable energy power generation on ATC, with respect to position of power generation equipment, uncertainty of power output and penetration level etc. The method is validated by simulation on a modified IEEE 118 system involving wind power and solar power.关键词
可用输电能力/新能源发电/不确定性/蒙特卡洛仿真/风险/效益Key words
available transfer capability (ATC)/renewable energy power generation/uncertainty/Monte Carlo simulation/risk/benefit分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
王俊,蔡兴国,季峰,李现忠..考虑新能源发电不确定性的可用输电能力风险效益评估[J].电力系统自动化,2012,36(14):108-112,5.基金项目
高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金资助项目 （）
黑龙江省科技攻关项目 （）
沈阳农业大学教师科研基金项目（20101019）~~ （）
