基于ARIMA模型的网络安全威胁态势预测方法OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD
Forecasting network security threat situation based on ARIMA model
针对网络安全威胁态势变化趋势预测的困难性,利用网络安全威胁态势值具有时间序列的特点,提出了一种基于ARIMA的模型的网络安全威胁态势预测方法.该方法首先分析服务、漏洞、弱点等与网络安全相关的信息,合理地计算出网络安全威胁态势值,进而使用ARIMA模型的预测方法对所得序列的变化趋势进行预测.实验结果表明,该方法不仅能够反映真实的网络安全威胁态势的变化趋势,而且其预测的精度也较高.
In order to solving the difficulty of forecasting the variation trend of the network security threat situation. The paper proposed a forecasting method based on the ARJMA model, which made use of the data of network security threat situation having the feature of time series. Firstly, this method analysed the information of services, leaks, and vulnerabilities and so on which were related to the network security. After this, the paper computed the network se…查看全部>>
李凯;曹阳
华南师范大学计算机学院,广州510631华南师范大学计算机学院,广州510631
信息技术与安全科学
网络安全威胁态势态势预测ARIMA模型
network security threat situationsituation forecastingARIMA model
《计算机应用研究》 2012 (8)
在线空间叠合分析理论与方法研究
3042-3045,4
国家自然科学基金资助项目(60842007)广东省教育部产学研结合项目(2009B090300326)广东省科技计划项目(2009B010800036)
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