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可变模糊评价法在沿海经济带水资源可持续利用评价中的应用

吕芳 张兰霞

水利经济2012,Vol.30Issue(4):12-15,4.
水利经济2012,Vol.30Issue(4):12-15,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1003-9511.2012.04.004

可变模糊评价法在沿海经济带水资源可持续利用评价中的应用

Application of variable fuzzy assessment method in evaluation of sustainable utilization of water resources in coastal economic zone of Liaoning Province

吕芳 1张兰霞1

作者信息

  • 1. 辽宁师范大学城市与环境学院,辽宁 大连 116029
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Seven evaluation facts are selected, that is, mean available amount of water resources, mean amount of water supply, irrigation ratio of arable land, utilization rate of water resources, water demand per 10000 industrial product value, water demand modulus and quota of living water use. The system dynamics model is employed to simulate the above factors in the coastal economic zone of Liaoning Province in 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2020. According to the simulated results, the variable fuzzy model is adopted to assess the sustainable utilization of water resources in the coastal economic zone of I jaoning Province. The results show that the sustainable utilization of water resources in this area has a tendency of decrease in terms of the development under the current technical conditions. Finally, the corresponding countermeasures are proposed.

关键词

水资源/可持续利用/可变模糊评价法/沿海经济带/辽宁省

Key words

water resources/ sustainable utilization/ variable fuzzy assessment method/ coastal economic zone/ Liaoning Province

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

吕芳,张兰霞..可变模糊评价法在沿海经济带水资源可持续利用评价中的应用[J].水利经济,2012,30(4):12-15,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(50979035) (50979035)

水利经济

OACHSSCDCSTPCD

1003-9511

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