土木工程与管理学报2012，Vol.29Issue(2)：63-67,5.
基于动态博弈的垃圾焚烧发电BOT项目特许权期决策模型
Decision-Making Model on Concession Period for Waste Incineration and Generation BOT Project Based on Dynamic Game Theory
余群舟 1陈海滨2
作者信息
- 1. 华中科技大学 土木工程与力学学院,湖北武汉430074
- 2. 华中科技大学 控制结构湖北省重点实验室 ,湖北武汉430074
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
BOT Projects of waste incineration and generation have more environmental benefits than economic benefits. The government would hope the concessionaire company to put in more initial cost, which ensures the quality of the project, reduces the cost of operation, extends the life cycle and as a result brings more social benefits and environmental benefits. This article analyzes the relationship between initial cost and the length of concession period, and then proposes the concept of " economic life period of waste incineration BOT project" and proposes a method how to determine it. Game theory is used to establish the game model between Concessionaire Company and government. The analysis leads to a perfect Nash equilibrium between the concession decision-making of government and the initial cost of the Concessionaire Company. Finally the conclusion is explained by an example. The study provides theoretical basis and methods for Government to decide the concession period, the economic life period and the life cycle of waste incineration and generation BOT project关键词
BOT/垃圾焚烧/特许权期/经济寿命周/博弈论Key words
BOT/ waste Incineration/ concession Period/ economic life period/ game theory.分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
余群舟,陈海滨..基于动态博弈的垃圾焚烧发电BOT项目特许权期决策模型[J].土木工程与管理学报,2012,29(2):63-67,5.
