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基于气候变化综合指数的中国近50年来气候变化敏感性研究

吴浩 侯威 钱忠华 胡经国

物理学报2012,Vol.61Issue(14):562-571,10.
物理学报2012,Vol.61Issue(14):562-571,10.

基于气候变化综合指数的中国近50年来气候变化敏感性研究

The research on the sensitivity of climate change in China in recent 50 years based on composite index

吴浩 1侯威 2钱忠华 3胡经国4

作者信息

  • 1. 扬州大学物理科学与技术学院,扬州225002/国家气候中心,北京100081
  • 2. 国家气候中心,北京100081
  • 3. 扬州大学物理科学与技术学院,扬州225002/兰州大学大气科学学院,兰州730000
  • 4. 扬州大学物理科学与技术学院,扬州225002
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Climate change index is one of advanced issues in climate change research.There exist many specific indices in climate change research in China and other countries,but comprehensive indexes are very rare.So in this paper,a comprehensive climate change index(CCI) is defined based on single factor of temperature and precipitation index to assess the sensitivity of climate change,and the comprehensive information about climate change is obtained.Because the index size represents the difference in frequency between before and after extreme climate events around abrupt climate change,reflecting the ability for one region to respond to climate change and the sensitivity to the climate change,the index indicates a variety of information about climate change and can provide a certain judgment basis to better deal with extreme climate events.According to the CCI,the climate change and its regional sensitivity in China in recent 50 years are discussed.The results show that Inner Mongolia,northeast central,northwest and central Yunnan have higher CCI indexes,which indicates that the extreme climate events in these regions happen more frequently after the abrupt climate change. The mean CCI is computed of all stations in each province in China,showing that South China and east part of Southwest China each have a minimal index,indicating that these areas are not sensitive to climate change;in the North and Northeast China extreme events happen frequently.Climate change is obvious in high latitude and tropical and subtropical regions,the North and Southwest China are more sensitive,while the South of the Yellow River is less sensitive.The coastal areas with relatively high CCI have strong sensitivities due to the heavy rainfall influence from monsoon and typhoon.

关键词

气候变化指数/温度/降水/敏感性

Key words

climate change index/temperature/precipitation/sensitivity

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

吴浩,侯威,钱忠华,胡经国..基于气候变化综合指数的中国近50年来气候变化敏感性研究[J].物理学报,2012,61(14):562-571,10.

基金项目

全球变化研究国家重大科学研究计划 ()

国家自然科学基金(批准号:41175067,41105033)资助的课题~~ ()

物理学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCDSCI

1000-3290

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