湖北民族学院学报：自然科学版Issue(3)：351-352,356,3.
灰色理论GM（1,1）模型在水文预测中的应用——以清江河城区洪峰流量为例
Grey Theory GM(1,1) Model Hydrologic Prediction——Clear Rivers and Urban Peak Flow
秦文安 1黄国洲1
作者信息
- 1. 恩施州水文水资源勘测局,湖北恩施445000
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Gray theory is effective reconstruction of the regularity of the time series processing and forecasting time series process.From the perspective of long-term projections,GM(1,1) model for time series prediction can achieve the desired effect.In this paper,the nearly 20-year peak flow observed in Enshi city,Qingjiang River peak flow changes there is a certain cyclical calculation results show that the GM(1,1) model:first order differential equations exponential function of the law,not very better reflect the periodic fluctuations in peak flow variation,at the same time there are great limitations that flow projections of single factor.关键词
GM（1,1）/流量预测/清江河Key words
GM(1/1)/flow projections/the Qing Rivers分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
秦文安,黄国洲..灰色理论GM（1,1）模型在水文预测中的应用——以清江河城区洪峰流量为例[J].湖北民族学院学报：自然科学版,2012,(3):351-352,356,3.
