江西农业学报2012，Vol.24Issue(8)：166-170,5.
基于H-P滤波及回归模型的江苏省粮食供需平衡分析
Analysis of Grain Supply -Demand Balance in Jiangsu Province Based on H- P Filter and Regressive Model
摘要
Abstract
By using metrological analysis software EViews6.0, the author analyzed the grain supply -demand balance during the past 21 years in Jiangsu province, and established the grain supply and demand prediction model based on the application of H - P filter method. The results showed that the simulative precision of the established model was very high. The predictive results of the grain supply - demand in the future 5 years indicated that the grain supply and demand was basically balanced; however, along with the continuous increase in grain demand by the people, the food security would face a huge challenge. Therefore, the author put forward the relevant advices for alleviating the contradiction between grain supply and demand.关键词
粮食供需平衡/H-P滤波/预测分析/建议/江苏省Key words
Grain supply -demand balance/ H -P filter/ Forecast analysis/ Suggestion/ Jiangsu province分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
刘小川,张沛琪,朱利群,卞新民..基于H-P滤波及回归模型的江苏省粮食供需平衡分析[J].江西农业学报,2012,24(8):166-170,5.基金项目
国家科技支撑计划课题(2012BAD20B00). （2012BAD20B00）
