南京理工大学学报（自然科学版）2012，Vol.36Issue(4)：635-638,4.
基于灰色线性回归组合模型的火炮身管寿命预测
Prediction of Gun Barrel Life Based on Grey-linear Regression Combined Model
摘要
Abstract
To accurately predict the maximum projectile number at the life termination, and to improve the practical performance of the a gun, the mathematical model of gun barrel inner diameter wear is studied here. By means of the theory of grey system, the mathematical relationship between amount of wear and numbers of projectiles fired is obtained, while the grey-linear regression combined model is established by combining grey model and linear regression model. Through the application of the new model and the traditional grey model respectively in prediction of a certain type of gun barrel life, the results show that the method of the grey-linear regression combined model is effective, and the prediction accuracy is improved.关键词
灰色系统理论/灰色线性回归组合模型/身管内径磨损/身管寿命Key words
grey system theory/grey-linear regression combined model/barrel inner diameter wear/ barrel life分类
军事科技引用本文复制引用
孟翔飞,王昌明,何博侠,张爱军,包建东..基于灰色线性回归组合模型的火炮身管寿命预测[J].南京理工大学学报（自然科学版）,2012,36(4):635-638,4.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(51175267) （51175267）
