热带地理2012，Vol.32Issue(4)：389-394,401,7.
1990-2010年广东省能源消费的碳排放驱动因素分析
Variations and Influence factors of Carbon Emission of Primary Energy Consumption from 1990 to 2010 in Guangdong Province
摘要
Abstract
Fossil-fuel energy consumption leads to carbon dioxide emission, resulting in the global greenhouse effect. In this paper, with the application of energy consumption data in Guangdong Province from 1990 to 2010, annual carbon emission in the Province is calculated according to the default value of carbon emission calculating guidelines of IPCC, the total carbon emission, carbon emission structure and carbon emission intensity are systematically analyzed. The authors separate the elements of carbon emission by Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index and analyze their influence factors. The results show that: 1) Both Carbon emission from primary energy consumption and carbon emission per capita increased gradually in Guangdong Province over the period from 1990 to 2010. In the meantime, the level of carbon emission per 10 000 Yuan of GDP had a trend to decrease. The proportion of CO2 emission of secondary industry was the highest. 2) Economic growth contributed the most to the increase of carbon emission, while energy intensity effect and population scale the second, and energy consumption structure the least. Energy consumption intensity influenced the carbon emission, and energy consumption intensity was affected by the structure of production. The energy intensity and the proportion of the output value of secondary industries were the main influence factors to energy consumption intensity.关键词
能源消费/碳排放/因素分解/LMDI/广东省Key words
energy consumption/ carbon emissions/ influence factors/ Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index/Guangdong Province分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
苟少梅,王长建,张利,乔梦梦,王璀蓉,王强..1990-2010年广东省能源消费的碳排放驱动因素分析[J].热带地理,2012,32(4):389-394,401,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(41001384) （41001384）
