陕西林业科技Issue(5)：31-33,3.
基于GIS和Markov模型的孟达自然保护区土地利用变化研究
GIS Based Land-use Pattern Analysis of Mengda Nature Reserve
李吉鹏 1张瑞娟 1李川 1程伟 1罗浩1
作者信息
- 1. 陕西省林业调查规划院,陕西西安710082
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
The paper analyzed and simulated future tendency of the dynamic evolvement of landscape spatial pattern using GIS technology and Markov chain model in Mengda Nature Reserve of Qinghai Province.Land-use maps of two different periods were used as the basic data,which were inputted,edited and stored in the computer under the supporting of ArcGIS system to form a geospatial database.Transition matrix of land-use was calculated and the condition of land-use of Mengda Nature Reserve was analyzed,with the land-use from 2012 to 2027 were predicted.The results showed that forest land and agricultural land had the largest change.The coverage of forest land increased significantly from 25.58% in 1991 to 46.10% in 2027.Agricultural land decreased from 19.05% in1991 to 1.98% in 2027.关键词
Markov模型/分析预测/孟达自然保护区/土地利用变化/GISKey words
Markov model/analysis and prediction/Mengda Nature Reserve/land-use change/GIS分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
李吉鹏,张瑞娟,李川,程伟,罗浩..基于GIS和Markov模型的孟达自然保护区土地利用变化研究[J].陕西林业科技,2012,(5):31-33,3.
