安徽农业科学2012，Vol.40Issue(28)：14152-14154,3.
我国林业科技进步贡献率测算
Calculation of the Contribution Rate for Scientific and Technological Progress in Chinese Forestry
摘要
Abstract
Based on the Solow complementary method, the contribution rates of scientific and technological progress in traditional forestry were estimated to be 14. 6% , 10.7% , 13.6% and 37.1% respectively in 1991 - 1995 , 1996 - 2000, 2001 - 2005 and 2006 - 2010. The contribution rate has been greatly improved during the four periods, indicating that the forestry input obviously Jagged behind the output, and there is still a great potential and improving trend in the forestry development in the next five and ten years. It is estimated that, if the arising trend maintains unchanged, the total output value of forestry increases at an annual rale of 5% , and the parameters involved in the forestry develop-ment, such as, rural labors, mountainous areas, etc. , kept unchanged or changed slightly, the contribution rates of forestry scientific and technological progress in 2015 and 2050 will reach 30. 3% and 34. 8%.关键词
林业/科技进步贡献率/Solow余值法/中间消耗Key words
Forestry/ Contribution rate of scientific and technological progress/ Solow complementary method/ Intermediate consumption分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
黄敏,管宇,邱峰..我国林业科技进步贡献率测算[J].安徽农业科学,2012,40(28):14152-14154,3.基金项目
浙江省统计局重点项目(2012-11). （2012-11）
