大气和海洋科学快报：英文版2012，Vol.5Issue(6)：495-498,4.
Projected Changes in Kppen Climate Types in the 21st Century over China
Projected Changes in Kppen Climate Types in the 21st Century over China
摘要
Abstract
Future changes in the climate regimes over China as measured by the Kppen climate classification are reported in this paper. The analysis is based on a high-resolution climate change simulation conducted by a regional climate model (the Abdus Salam International Center for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) RegCM3) driven by the global model of Center for Climate System Research (CCSR)/National Institute for Environment Studies (NIES)/Frontier Research Center for Global Change (FRCGC) MIROC3.2_hires (the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate) under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B scenario. Validation of the model performances is presented first. The results show that RegCM3 reproduces the present-day distribution of the Kppen climate types well. Significant changes of the types are found in the future over China, following the simulated warming and precipitation changes. In southern China, the change is characterized by the replacement of subtropical humid (Cr) by subtropical winter-dry (Cw). A pronounced decrease of the cold climate types is found over China, e.g., tundra (Ft) over the Tibetan Plateau and sub-arctic continental (Ec) over northeast China. The changes are usually greater in the end compared with the middle of the 21st century.关键词
中国南方/气候类型/政府间气候变化专门委员会/区域气候模型/模拟环境/高分辨率/气候系统/全局模式Key words
climate change/regional climate model/Kppen climate/China分类
地质学引用本文复制引用
SHI Ying,GAO Xue-Jie,WU Jia..Projected Changes in Kppen Climate Types in the 21st Century over China[J].大气和海洋科学快报：英文版,2012,5(6):495-498,4.基金项目
supported by the Special Research Program for Public-Welfare Forestry （）
the National Basic Research Program of China （）
