火力与指挥控制2012，Vol.37Issue(11)：173-176,4.
基于Bayes理论的复杂装备测试性评估方法
Study on Testability Evaluation Method for Complex Equipment Based on Bayes Theory
常春贺 1杨江平 2胡亮1
作者信息
- 1. 空军预警学院,武汉430019
- 2. 解放军95980部队,湖北襄阳441021
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
In view of the problems that the classic statistic evaluation method can produce the conclusion with low confidence level and high risk under the condition of small sample, a new testability evaluation method based on Bayes theory is proposed. Firstly, in order to overcome the limitation of the traditional method, a Bayes evaluation model for testability of complex equipment based on fusing the history information and the field system test information is established. This model adopts mixed Beta prior distribution and determines the inheritance factor by using chi-square goodness of fit. Finally, the analysis result of the practical case proves that this method can produce evaluation conclusion with high confidence level, and shows that this method is more rational than the classical statistical method.关键词
复杂装备/测试性评估/Bayes评估方法/继承因子Key words
complex equipment/testability evaluation/Bayes evaluation method/inheritance factor分类
军事科技引用本文复制引用
常春贺,杨江平,胡亮..基于Bayes理论的复杂装备测试性评估方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2012,37(11):173-176,4.
