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涔天河水库诱发地震的预测研究

魏柏林 陈立军 谢明富 陈家超 黄河生 吴华

华南地震2012,Vol.32Issue(z1):38-51,14.
华南地震2012,Vol.32Issue(z1):38-51,14.

涔天河水库诱发地震的预测研究

A Study on Reservoir-induced Earthquake Prediction for Centianhe Reservoir

魏柏林 1陈立军 2谢明富 1陈家超 1黄河生 1吴华2

作者信息

  • 1. 广东省地震局,广东广州510070
  • 2. 湖南省地震局,湖南长沙410001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

After Centianhe reservoir impounding 40 years, there is no reservoir -induced earthquake recorded. Expansion project is planed for that the dam height is 75m, and storage capacity is 1.51 billion m3. When increasing the volume of water by 1.4billion m3, whether or not reservoir -induced earthquake occurred, and how big can the earthquake get? According to seismotectonic background , reservoir scale ,, the maximum probability of time when earthquake of the maximum magnitude happen after impoundment, this paper predicts that the maximum magnitude of Centianhe reservoir-induced earthquake is less than 4.7.

关键词

涔天河水库/诱发地震/地震活动/预测

Key words

Centianhe reservoir/ Induced earthquake/ Earthquake activity / Prediction

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

魏柏林,陈立军,谢明富,陈家超,黄河生,吴华..涔天河水库诱发地震的预测研究[J].华南地震,2012,32(z1):38-51,14.

华南地震

OACSTPCD

1001-8662

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